Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Divergence Maintained

With the caveat that a minute ((c)) wave upward can fail, there is a good possibility a flat is under construction. The divergence of the EWO on the minute ((b)) wave was maintained for a second day.

ES Futures - 4 Hr - Flat?

The minute ((b)) wave is currently inside of the 1.618 x minute ((a)) level which is shown by the Fibonacci ruler on the chart. The minute ((c)) wave might be constructed by any actual news on fiscal stimulus.

Have an excellent start to the evening.
TraderJoe

61 comments:

  1. ET do you think 2736 ES might been a truncated c of ((b))?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good question. Might be, particularly if it coincided with stimulus news.

      Delete
  2. ET, if ((c)) is constructed, would it be anticipated to end at $2555, 2 x minute ((a))? And what is in this case current uptrend failure level, $2727?
    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. More typically 1.62 x ((a)). Failures are difficult to predict and might be news related.

      Delete
  3. ET, Might I inquire as to the reasoning for you to favour the flat rather than leading diagonal down.

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  4. "The minute ((c)) wave might be constructed by any actual news on fiscal stimulus."

    "Lagarde's first big test: Five questions for the ECB"
    https://tinyurl.com/yxxtdxkv

    Thursday's ECB meeting is followed by the FOMC on March 17/18...will Lagarde say something to juice the stock market? will the institutions use the opportunity leading up to the FOMC to off load inventory? options expiration next week...always interesting!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hey et.was looking back at your late January projection updates and am finding those to be still relavent. You have it as abc, or wxy from Dec 18 low. I know you've worked tirelessly on the longer term counts. Are those counts still in play?

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  6. Could be a small .786 triangle in here for b of 4 of the Large Diagonal from ATH.

    https://imgur.com/W8wkMTZ

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  7. hmmmm that could be c of a flat for b.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    3. Shallow 0.382 retrace, end of correction and LD might be validated.

      https://imgur.com/a/zGmLIe3

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  8. Bullish?
    https://invst.ly/q31vo

    ReplyDelete
  9. If it's an overall bigger diagonal from top forming, shouldn't the 2 and 4 be simple zigzags? Not double?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. is that a yes to Erik B first question or second question?

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    2. well, I think most of us can agree at least 2 is an truncated double zz? So question is if something else is going on, maybe 1-2-i-ii, but that doesn't sing very well with sentiment..?

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    3. is this abc down plausible to finish ((b)) of the flat alternative?
      https://invst.ly/q32t-

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    4. If it's possible to count an impulse up to i, this looks pretty plausible, futures went a little deeper in the AH two days ago, and this recent down leg is very overlapping and slow, maybe WXY?
      https://invst.ly/q333k

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    5. I see rules that state they should be simple zz's and then I have seen rules state they should be from the ZZ family.

      Delete
  10. From early low to 12:20 high, there is an abc with b being a triangle.

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  11. Trendline from yesterday's bottom is broken currently.

    https://imgur.com/a/51LxmUC

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  12. so 5 waves down will be what 1 or C ?

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  13. Just so I am not missing anything, the three counts are

    1 2 ((1)) ((2)) (1) (2)

    C of B of 2

    B of 4 of Large Contracting Diagonal or in 5 of Large Contracting Diagonal

    Miss anything?

    ReplyDelete
  14. SPX cash has a marginal new low below 2,734; futures are not yet down to 90%.

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  15. Cash can't be counted like "anything" except a (b) wave, lower without all kinds of degree violations. Look at which wave is the largest since the recent down trend.

    https://invst.ly/q34ej

    TJ

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  16. Is it like Oct 29, 2018, at the end of a contracting diagonal down?

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