The expanding diagonal we called yesterday did indeed turn out to be 'Leading' as there are lower waves after it. A line chart (just to show the form) is below.
With another failure and gap fill after the cash open today prices ground & ground & ground lower. It looks like three waves lower and so - at this point - being around the 1.382 mark as far as closes go, it might be the b-3 wave of a flat.
I'm not sure, but I am again neutral (after being negative) until I see more. Neutral means I'm looking to the ES 30-minute intraday chart for clues. Certainly, lower lows would tilt the odds to the down side again.
Have an excellent start to the evening.
TraderJoe
Courtesy of SentimenTrader (screenshot from vid) -
ReplyDeletehttps://www.mediafire.com/view/b5zstrmvbff6reu/Spread20.PNG/file
SPY (wkly) - alerts strengthening -
ReplyDeletehttps://www.mediafire.com/view/7a9k3fdrwmoto16/spyw.PNG/file
Good morning all. Here is the ES 30-min intraday wave counting screen, with updated daily pivot points (classic calculation) and recent local fractals.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/cRNryi6z/
Yes, there is the presence of a diagonal in the overnight.
TJ
First down (red) fractal back has been exceeded lower.
DeleteTJ
Now .. first up (green) fractal back exceeded higher.
DeleteTJ
SPY (60m) - update
ReplyDeletehttps://www.mediafire.com/view/7jphcw4aoo2mkr9/spy60m.PNG/file
SPY 5-min: here are some measurements on this 'potential' diagonal. Let's see if the higher high is made or not.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/tw752ox1/
TJ
ES & SPY have the higher high.
DeleteTJ
SPY & ES: Completed diagonal converts to impulse.
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/8qBoa16q/
TJ
Could an alternate be an abc up with b as triangle?
DeleteYes, as a w-x-y wave up.
DeleteTJ
Here's an update on the SPY 30-min. Price has come back to touch an upper parallel. It counts as a-b-c up or w-x-y, up. Either way it's back to the 38.2% Fibo level. Nothing says the wave is done yet.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/XCbPS8pj/
TJ
If your 'C' rebound fools around for a few days in the 4480-4500 range and then peters out, we will have a very nice H&S top in the S&P500 centered on Sep 2. The S&P400 (Midcap) would need a heroic rally to make a strong right shoulder. I don't believe that's in the cards.
ReplyDeleteThere is a new post started for the next day.
ReplyDeleteTJ