From a degree labeling perspective, the up count to an Expanded Flat Minor B wave lost some credibility today. The upward wave may have gotten too long. As a result, the best idea I have is to keep the ES count compatible with the Dow count, with both indexes in the Intermediate (Y) wave, as below.
ES Futures - 2 Day - Still Intermediate (Y) |
At this point, there is insufficient impulsive action lower to assume a second Intermediate (X) wave has started downward yet. From, the first Intermediate (X) wave the count upward is Minor A - which might either be an impulse or a diagonal - barrier triangle Minor B, and now a Minor C wave of Intermediate (Y).
Note that - at this time - Intermediate (Y) is just about as long in time as Intermediate (W). That likely indicates the waves are of the same degree. The slight alternate is that Minor B is back one trough at the beginning of March, as a "running" Minor B wave, and we are in the third wave of C of (Y). However, this wave is beginning to feel a lot like the thrust from a triangle. It has also a slight "throw-over" of the former wedge up trend line.
Have a good start to the evening.
TraderJoe
BIG wedge! Measured target around 2500.00 Bankster boys gonna be busy...!!! :)
ReplyDeleteLooks doable! I think Neely suggested that as ((b)) is > ((a)), the thrust will likely be much larger than ((b)) (up to 2.618 as long)? That's a ways up there!
ReplyDeleteDJI (wkly) - time to pack? :o)
https://funkyimg.com/i/3bQrD.png
Regarding the possible barrier triangle, current thrust is a smidge beyond equality with ((b)).
DeleteI recommend a listen:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.realvision.com/shows/daily-briefing/videos/signs-of-trouble-in-the-bank-earnings-blowout-plus-coinbases-debut?utm_campaign=2021414_alert_briefing_leads_combo_1_standard&utm_medium=email&_hsmi=121446793&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-9kcnZ0VOYDwk5feO6_ZOUR5tb6QryjH8j7lNWnqVqraiVAErygjy8Aejxucc6EbLQedKg64gd2VWrOy5mCitUbDZ33sA&utm_source=leads_combo
YM (4hr) -
ReplyDeletehttps://funkyimg.com/i/3bQxT.png
Bull continues to run. I may have exited a tad eatly, lol!. Absent a cash session down-turn the likelihood that price simply consolidating recent gains I think rises. I stopped paying serious attention to fib markers awhile back, and for obvious reasons. I now watch where they inject liquidity.
DeleteET,
ReplyDeleteI want to understand for B of Y why did you choose a triangle over a flat. The flat will imply we are in (iii) of C.
No evidence of a fourth wave 'yet'. That could change.
DeleteGood morning all. Here is the ES 30-min, intraday wave-counting-screen with updated daily pivot points (classic calculation) and local fractals. The market has been breaking up (green) fractals most recently.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/NmNA74Ul/
TJ
Fewer than 28 points away. Sure thought they would do it in futures...maybe waiting for new NDX high.
ReplyDeleteUnder this revised daily count, is there any particular reason to expect another intermediate (X) and (Z) waves? Or is it just as likely that the B wave up ends with intermediate (Y)?
ReplyDeleteI will address in tonight's post.
DeleteThanks! Always value your work
DeleteES 30-min; back down to 18-per SMA. Getting very whippy in here.
ReplyDeleteTJ
FVRR broke neckline of H&S pattern today.
ReplyDeleteLol! DJIA looking like it wants to print another tantalizing shooting star...yeah right! :)
ReplyDeletehttps://schrts.co/kEwchqkC
ReplyDeleteNot a bad time to take some profits.
Lol! I had a single Diamond 340 left and bailed early! Whew! :)
DeleteSPY 5-min; not too much yet; a break of the ((B)) wave needed for anything significant. Otherwise, an upward flat is possible.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/wSqiAzaB/
TJ
..still nothing, but sideways wave can currently be counted as a triangle, which makes the morning low more likely an 'a' wave.
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/FEDMabJ7/
Alternate is b has more ways to go up for a flat.
TJ
A peek at the hrly -
ReplyDeletehttps://funkyimg.com/i/3bQPo.png
Now new high.
DeletePrice finding strong support at lower trend-line. I would think an upward break should be anticipated with price holding above 4100...
DeleteLooking like 4200 so far proving resistance. I do not think price will trade here for very long...
DeleteSPY now at 90%, for a flat or more.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/W9DHVMbS/
TJ
possible 'b' wave up is inside of 1.382
DeleteThere is a new post started for the next day.
ReplyDelete