Friday, February 26, 2021

Very Dicey

Here's a quick update. The wave counting is very dicey. Monday is the first day of the month with possible inflows.


Keep your eye on any stimulus progress over the weekend. Have a good start to it!

TraderJoe

21 comments:

  1. Joe Thanks.
    What are rules for wave 2 retrace if wave 1 was a leading/expanding diagonal? What if today's early morning low was (5) of 1 and this afternoon high was 2 (not much of a retrace) and then late day decline was start of a 3rd down?
    Thanks In advance.

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    Replies
    1. Yw. Only 'rule' is ((ii)) can not exceed the high. If the down move is a "((i))" then the retrace is 'often' deeper than if the down move is an "((a))". I don't think the futures have enough new lows yet to make a diagonal, unless the fifth wave (v) failed at the close today. And a 'failure' is 'not allowed', by rule, in a leading diagonal.

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  2. Observations on DXY (wkly) if interested -

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3b8Va.png

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    Replies
    1. Grabbed EOD DXY by mistake (S/B DXY ICEUS). Reg. hidden div. is on it. Otherwise, everything the same. :o)

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  3. Update on Stocks above their 50ma -

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3b9zJ.png

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  4. The fed seemed to change some things. They now want to see inflation above 2% averaged over 3 years. And unemployment has changed from u-3 to u-6. We may be on permanent QE, lol.

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  5. Observations on Copper (wkly) if interested -

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3b9Em.png

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    Replies
    1. Copper & lumber ripping higher bodes well for economy and inflation.

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  6. SPX (log) mthly - just observations

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3b9GQ.png

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    Replies
    1. GW do you try to fit 140 to 160 bars in a timeframe?

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    2. Not purposely if I do. Probably close to half+ of my chart is data unless Im trying to purposely look back further. Not sure that helps.

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  7. I'm not sure if I'm on the right track but I thought I'd post my thoughts. Still unsure about Nasdaq as it could retest 12000 area soon.
    https://www.tradingview.com/x/XBRLdxI1/

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  8. ES (wkly), a possible alternative?

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3baRp.png

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    Replies
    1. No. Too many things wrong with it: 1) there has never been a pattern shown like this one, 2) degree violations: your C of ((y)) - not shown - which is a sub-wave is longer than all of ((w)) down. Both waves are in the same direction, and you are saying that a 'smaller degree subwave' can be larger than a larger degree wave.

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  9. For those interested, more examples of reg. hidden divs., and how they may fit in with wave analysis -

    https://funkyimg.com/i/3bb2a.png

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  10. A new post is started for the next day.

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