Here is a two-day chart of the ES futures, specifically for one reason : to show the larger wedge.
Still trying to adhere to degree labeling, the best count is also applied - given all of the overlaps from the (X) wave to the current time. The Elliott Wave Oscillator still shows a divergence with today's new all-time-high.
We know that the wave from the most recent minute ((a)) to minute ((b)) - although in a wedge - was not a true diagonal as the start of the wave was never broken lower. We pointed out the important fractals; they were never hit.
Sometimes wedges will pop over the top before they make a low beneath the wedge. We'll see. Price remains above the daily 18-day SMA at this point and therefore has positive bias. Price is not up to the upper daily Bollinger Band, yet. The 0.618 Fibonacci relationship is overhead by a fair bit.
The lack of overlap with Intermediate (W) at the most recent Minor B wave low just barely prevents us from calling this a diagonal. But - that could happen in the future. Showing Intermediate (Y) at or near this location might allow a diagonal count later - if and when overlap with (W) should occur.
Have a good evening,
TraderJoe
Thanks for the update!
ReplyDeleteUpdate on Stocks above their 50ma -
https://funkyimg.com/i/3ayRi.png
👍 I pay attention to divergences in this indicator.
DeleteVery interesting GW. One of the most fascinating thing about this market has been how bearish signal get repeatedly negated.I think I mentioned candle-stick patterns and distance from M.A previously. Plowing highet on narrowing breadth is certainly another. I see we also have both a green VIX and green futures this morning and that used to spell trouble for the bulls, but not necessarily so these days, lol!
DeleteDaily (cfd) with multiple HD targets -
ReplyDeletehttps://funkyimg.com/i/3azma.png
5 minute chart showing 5 waves down in futures? FWIW https://invst.ly/tpwa5
ReplyDeleteI think the trend remains up.
Deletehaha for sure! still watching to see if today we may get pullback, i don't think anything serious yet.
DeleteGood morning all. Here is a possible 30-minute impulse I'm following; checking to see if it behaves appropriately.
ReplyDeletehttps://invst.ly/tpwn5
TJ
..price has broken through the EMA-13 to the downside; this may be signs of a fourth wave in progress, along with the declining EWO.
Deletehttps://invst.ly/tpw-i
TJ
Market liquidity ..the terminator of technicals..Gl all
ReplyDeleteES 1-day: a couple of other items to just note for information. 1) At the high today, the ES tagged the upper daily two-day trend line - as best as my software allows me to tell. 2) If the ES were to trade above 3,935 to 3,940 then it would likely 'not' be able to form a diagonal because a fourth wave would have to be longer than a second wave to overlap the September high.
ReplyDeleteTJ
..as it is right now; overlap in an upward diagonal wave is possible and would - to this point only - count acceptably.
DeleteTJ
ES 30-min: price tagged the EMA-34. More confirmation of a down wave, probably a fourth wave in progress.
ReplyDeletehttps://invst.ly/tpx8a
TJ
How bout a neg-D on the 60ty..take a shot at short..short leash. :)
ReplyDeleteSome add'l perspectives on 30min -
ReplyDeletehttps://funkyimg.com/i/3azzb.png
Broke up and out and now at HD target.
DeleteLoks to me like they are waiting until the close to ramp price to the overhead round number.
ReplyDeleteES 30-min: now over the top, likely for the b wave of a Flat. This could provide alternation with a second wave.
ReplyDeletehttps://invst.ly/tpzzs
TJ
15 min chart of DJIA looks like a contracting triangle with e wave just about done.
ReplyDeletePossible megaphone pattern on the SPX to coincide with back-test of broken wedge. Needs to hold 3898 though
ReplyDeleteNo 3900 tag today. Perhaps next week? Have an awesome week-end everyone!
ReplyDeleteAs of the futures settle, can only say the EWO is now in fourth wave territory near the zero line. Possible for wave 'c' of ((4)) on Sunday night.
ReplyDeletehttps://invst.ly/tq0jf
TJ
Stocks above 20ma vs stocks above 50ma -
ReplyDeletehttps://funkyimg.com/i/3aAJ8.png
I totally agree and one of the reasons I haven’t committed a lot of funds in the market. Nice ratio.
DeleteNew day, same old song...as improbable as it seems, market goes higher.
ReplyDelete..see the next post. And, in the future, it would be best if you had wave-counting ideas to present and not just general comments.
DeleteThere is a new post started for the next day.
ReplyDelete