Tuesday, December 17, 2019

Zigzag - 2

U.S. Debt Clock: $23.13 Trillion; prev $23.13
ES Daily Candle: Higher High, Higher Low, Lower Close: Yin-Yang Candle
Market Posture: Negative
Daily Swing Line: Higher
Daily Bias: Up (Settle Above 18-day SMA)
Resistance: Upper Daily Bollinger Band

The minuet (b) wave, up, may have topped today, right around the level of 1.5 x minuet (a), down. There's not much else that can be said, except that after the high was made we were following either a small triangle - upward - today, or a series of 1-2-i-ii, lower within that triangle. However, that potential triangle broke lower today, not higher. We have not seen that in a very, very long time.

ES Futures - 4 H - Possible (b) Top

Futures settled near 3,195 today.

More confirmation of a top would come with 1) a break of futures 3,191 in the after hours tonight which would make a lower low, 2) trading below the mid-channel line, shown as dotted, above, 3) a break of the lower channel line, 4) a successful back test of the lower channel line, and 5) a critical overlap which would also overlap the minute ((a)) wave, up.

Have a good start to the evening. 
TJ

5 comments:

  1. It could be a 4 from Dec 3rd, of a 5 from Oct 3rd, implying a high just before Christmas.

    If we go back to a wave B triangle from May 1st to Oct 3rd, then at about 3225, Oct 3rd to the high = 0.618 x Dec 26th last year to May 1st.

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    Replies
    1. If you compare the pattern to AAPL - it would have an ascending triangle wave B to Oct 3rd 215 low, then at about 288, the move from Oct 3rd to the high = last Dec low to May 1st.

      Delete
  2. Set up is here for a BB sell signal.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Watch 3200. Nothing else significant in the near term.

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