The 4-Hr chart of Gold Futures (GC) is below. There are two items to watch based on the upper left-hand side of the chart being a Minor 3 wave as per daily and weekly studies. So far on the left, the chart looks like three waves down to an a-3 wave, then three-waves up to a b-3 wave precisely at the 90% level for a Flat. This level is shown by the Fibonacci ruler. Then, there are five waves down for the potential c-5 wave to finish the flat. Next, there appear to be five waves up for another a wave, up, then a b wave down in three-waves to form an upwardly sloping parallel channel. The whole mess looks very, very sideways, and it is intriguing that the b-3 wave up made exactly the 90% level.
GOLD (GC) Futures - 4 Hr - Flat ? |
So, if we are getting a flat, we may be building a much larger wave Minor 4, which, itself could be a larger Flat or Expanded Flat. So, the two items two watch are these:
- Does price go up over the a wave to make a new high, possibly in the (b)-3 wave of a larger Flat or Expanded Flat starting from the (a)-3 wave? Or,
- Does price crack below the down (red) fractal at the c-5/(a)-3 low?
On the daily, this would be nice if it was part of diagonal but I have to use a specific month to get rid of the rollover shenanigans.
ReplyDeletehttps://imgur.com/LnkMZic
No, I don't think so. Wave 4 in a diagonal 'should not be' a flat, and this is a 90% wave up. Consider the diagonal already completed as follows to wave 3.
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/u7C3VwWM/
TJ
Thx for the response. I will work in the expanding ending diagonal into my charts and take a look.
DeleteHow is that book coming along? I will need a few copies for sure!
This is the best I have so far in the down direction. The two counts are equivalent until they are not.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/T6kqti2e/
TJ
SPY just overlapped your counting stop.
DeleteYes, only iv is dead in SPY 1-hr. These are the next best.
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/1YJ7Khju/
TJ
Gold count makes sense TJ - esp as Dollar looks like it's bottoming in this 100 area. Seems that Dollar getting close to rallying and gold will selloff as well in coming months.
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