Tuesday, December 14, 2021

Bias Shifts to Down

Yesterday was an outside day down for the ES futures. Today was a follow-through day and the close is likely to be under the 18-day SMA.

ES Futures - Daily - Follow Through

The daily slow stochastic is in over-bought territory and tomorrow is the FED report day.

Have a good evening.

TraderJoe

19 comments:

  1. Joe thanks
    Of spx cash gaps up
    It will have an island reversal
    Did that carry why weight for your analysis

    ReplyDelete
  2. Gold (wkly) - poss. alternate

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/8veicsrc03q9r0n/GoldAlt.PNG/file

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You are becoming much better at this wave thing, so keep it up. It makes me glad to see it. I will only offer that it is less typical to see a triangle after a diagonal because each structure is made of three-wave sequences, and that would be poor alternation.

      TJ

      Delete
  3. https://schrts.co/tZedIzdv

    $TNX- this moving average has been resistance.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Has the right look.

    https://imgur.com/xDNyqu2

    ReplyDelete
  5. SPY 15-min: larger channel.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/PuUy7xSG/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  6. SPY 3-min: smaller channels.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/0NZTFpEH/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. SPY 3-min: this morning's 10 AM low has been exceeded lower.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/4HrkX8ee/

      TJ

      Delete
  7. A look at a Magee & Edwards chart analysis. A Diamond top is in place or a H & S pattern with a high right shoulder. Even though the 9 wave initial decline is anything but text book EWT,this market has been fueled by lesser and lesser stocks. The last rise has been led by maybe 10 stock out of 500.
    Whatever the FED does today will not matter in the end,except to pop their insane bubble and monetary policy. AS always things as far as Mr. Market can change. IMHO
    https://i.postimg.cc/h4w4rQKT/Screenshot-36.png

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No longer a diamond for the bears a complex top or a broadening pattern with a 5a and 5b topping short squeeze. Should reverse down in the early morning if they can keep the German Dax up that long. YMMV IMHO

      Delete
    2. After today it looks like a triple combo with a Z coming lower into next week. Then I guess another final leg up for Santa to deliver coal to shorts. 🎅

      Delete
  8. I don't know of any other way to look at this considering the full 5 wave advance into this top. Been wrong before and who hasn't?
    https://i.postimg.cc/tTcKbPTj/Screenshot-37.png

    ReplyDelete
  9. SPY 3-min: now bumping on short-term channel. Watch it closely as it might rule out a further third wave down (making the down count only a-b-c).

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZDp9eIgv/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  10. An aside (if interested) WEAT (dly) - 3PDh (click to sharpen)

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/cz84qwepv9ui3ts/Weat.PNG/file

    ReplyDelete
  11. Reminder: FED report out at top of the hour.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  12. Gold (4hr) 3PDh full retrace -

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/aicag8topeb8kv7/FullRetrace.PNG/file

    ReplyDelete
  13. Looks like "Sound & Fury" to me. Powell is both clever AND foolish, lol!

    ReplyDelete
  14. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete