Those following the market today know that the NQ futures made a new daily low today. Meanwhile, the ES futures and Dow (YM) futures did not. Yet, as the chart below, shows the ES got to within 90% of the low.
Yes, there is a way this can still be a fourth wave in an impulse down. If so, look for early follow-through. The trick or trap would be that the three-waves-up, shown only as ((A))-((B))-((C)), wound up being only three waves of a larger flat (b) wave. Otherwise, the (b) wave is at the prior high.
The Dow in the case of a larger correction, upward, would be a simple ((W))-((X))-((Y)).
Have a good start to the evening.
TraderJoe
AMZN (wkly) - something to monitor this week -
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Hi joe, you can post gold , with possibile corretion?
ReplyDeleteTank you
Hi Fabio; in 4-hr GOLD, this is the only way I can see for the waves to work out to the correct lengths. And I'm happy to do it once, but you need to start to learn to count the waves, so you are not dependent on me. I am not here to help you trade Gold. I am here to help you to learn to count waves. Do we understand?
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TJ
Tank you joe,
DeleteES 15-min: the overnight futures can be counted as EITHER a five-wave expanding diagonal, OR it's triple zigzag counterpart. If the low take out before the high then it can be a second wave of 'c' down of minute ((iii)). If the high is taken out first, then possible to complete the larger (b) wave up.
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Look for technical internal momentum clues.
TJ
can now be counted as:
Deletediagonal a/i, b/ii, c/iii to 62%
TJ
can now be counted as:
Deletediagonal a/i, b/ii, c/iii to 78.6%
TJ
Thanks, TJ
ReplyDeleteES 15-min: can now be counted as a/i, b/ii, c/iii, iv? if wave iv holds, and if price goes over the 4,357 high, then it might go over the 4,366 high to further extend than minuet (b) wave.
ReplyDeleteTJ
CL 1-Hr: those interested in Crude Oil might want to see if the fairly standard looking impulse wave can complete properly. REMEMBER: since wave minute ((ii)) is a Sharp, or zigzag, then wave minute ((iv)) 'can' go over the high, and is so noted on the chart.
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Secondarily, depending on where the potential impulse is located in the overall up sequence, a triangle might form for a wave ((iv)), too.
Good luck,
TJ
Lol! I still remember a long term chart you posted showing an interim top in oil awhile back when EVERYONE was bullish...thought I owed you a commission on that one... 😊
DeleteYou do! (not). The difference is if this impulse completes properly, it might not end the move. There might be another wave after it. Will have to monitor.
DeleteTJ
SPY 1-Hr: things are starting to get exceptionally overlapping. So perhaps a fourth wave wants to try for a 38.2% retrace (largest retrace so far is 23.6) or else perhaps there will be a failure (b) wave. Those 'can' happen. It is unknown whether it 'will' happen.
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TJ
ES / SPY .. now down near 38.2%, and prior fourth wave of one lesser degree. This thing probably needs to hold ES 4,328 or a fourth wave is very dicey.
DeleteTJ
There is a way to count completion; so just be cautious. As usual, they are not going to provide more clarity until the overnight.
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TJ