Monday, July 6, 2020

Near ((c)) = ((a)) for Minor B

The cash S&P500 has not yet made a minute ((c)) wave = minute ((b)) wave for the Minor B wave, as per the hourly chart, below.

SP500 Cash Index - 1 Hr - Near ((c)) = ((a))

This has been a difficult wave series to count because of the sideways triangle within minute ((a)), the nearly equal b wave for a 'flat', and the c wave diagonal downward to end the minute ((b)) wave. We have shown portions correctly. We didn't get it all correct. But, because the Minor B wave exceeds the 78.6% retrace level, we think it counts best as the B wave, and not the second wave that starts the long awaited crash. Note that the angle of the minute ((c)) wave is less steep than that of the minute ((a)) wave. You can see this by the number of bars being larger on the ruler shown. This might indicate that the downward pull of the market is the stronger one.

If the NQ futures exceed the 10,658 level, then that will only be wave ((iii))) of their potential ending diagonal. If not, then the diagonal can end or truncate in this area.

Stay flexible patient and calm, and have a good start to the week.
TraderJoe
P.S. Please refresh your browser if you did not get the completed post the first time. Thx!

20 comments:

  1. I think short term (intraday) as impulsive, not B wave.

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    Replies
    1. It shows no sign of impulsion as there is no 1.618 wave from ((a)) to ((c)), and there are too many overlaps.

      Delete
    2. Absolutely!
      Nothing whatsoever impulsive about the upward move.
      Nice to see the prevailing bullish frothiness nonetheless...

      Delete
  2. nq continues straight up

    if 11,138 can be surpassed

    13,000 can be seen quickly

    ReplyDelete
  3. based on what?........only 13K? why not go big and say 25K?

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  4. Indeed. It may as well exceed the current 20% above its 200 day SMA and go to 50%..! Lol!

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  5. based on fibs

    25000 means nothing

    ReplyDelete
  6. After a new high for the S&P500, and the NQ, the NQ has a pretty clear five waves down. It seems a question of whether a retrace will stick or not.

    https://invst.ly/rdb0a

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ndx has first hourly overlap in days

      straight up rocket momentum is starting to weaken

      no matter what decline ensues from here .....

      a higher price peak is expected later
      even if the momentum peak has been seen at 10, 705

      11, 138 is still expected

      Delete
    2. mischik .. stop with the dogmatic "I know everything" posts, or they will be sent to spam.

      Delete
    3. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    4. It happens every single time!
      As soon as the forum begins to achieve some modicum of collegiality along comes some cretin and ruins it for everyone... *SIGH*

      Delete
    5. ..mischik .. I am more amenable to posts that have 1) some level of thought in them, 2) some rationale so that others can follow it, 3) explain why their wave count is preferred. Unfortunately, I'll reserve the labels for those who use them first.

      Delete
  7. Daily NDX overbought at the upper bb. One more day above 80 on slow stoch. to embed.

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  8. ES futures .. undercut overnight low.

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