With 100 candles on the Gold (GC) futures weekly chart, we said we are still trying to count by parallels until we can no longer. The Elliott Wave Oscillator on this time frame indicates a maximum on a third of a third, and a divergence on minute ⓥ of Minor 3.
Wave 3 is a 1.618 extension, plus, and the question is whether a fourth wave is underway. IF so, then at some point a retrace back down to the prior fourth minute wave might occur. And IF this is wave Intermediate (5), up, then it is possible this correction might take the form of a triangle. In any event, it would be expected for the EWO to track down towards the zero line so that it meets the usual guideline of +10% to -40% of the maximum in wave 3.
Have an excellent rest of the weekend.
TraderJoe
Maybe it will be where the e is on ES.
ReplyDeletehttps://imgur.com/9gtoaCz
On /GC in the spirit of counting 5s till we cant, this is a previous conversation that was had here.
https://imgur.com/IejoPYu
..on the ES .. 'usually' the 'a' wave of a contracting triangle is a very violent move down. This one is 'meh'. TJ.
Delete..in SPY cash, a triangle like this currently works as is, or ..
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/0HyBOcPz/
..there are other options. The triangle might 'breathe' or 'expand' once so that the week's end highest high is the Ⓓ wave. But then, in that case the Ⓔ wave would have to come back down to cross over the center line.
Further, the 'opposite' of the triangle is still the expanding diagonal downward discussed earlier in the week. Although it is lower probability, it has NOT invalidated yet and must be watched carefully.
TJ
Here is one of the other options: this very 'long in time' sideways wave could just be the Flat, of a wave fourth of a larger degree shown in yesterday's post. This is because we have not even had a 38% downward wave. So, we 'could' pop the high then drop down to 38%.
Deletehttps://www.tradingview.com/x/zZMS9l5B/
TJ
I like this idea as Friday the put/call on equities ended at. 48 - quite low (ycharts). We also ended Friday with nice bearish divergences on mid time frames. If correct, it should feel like the start of a larger move down but I doubt it as 560 is very strong price support.
DeleteThank you
A new post is started for the next day.
ReplyDeleteTJ