Thursday, August 5, 2021

Marginal New High

Below we show what is thought (at this time) to be the most likely count on the SPY cash index, hourly.

SPY Cash - Hourly - Into (c) Wave?

Interestingly, neither an employment report pop (tomorrow morning), or a drop from the same affects the larger picture. We said several days ago the 3 AUG bottom 'could be' the bottom of the (b) wave. From today's price action, it appears to be. So, with the new high, we are counting upward until we can no longer.

The alternate red (b) wave would have a count of micro ((W))-((X))-((Y))-((X))-((Z)) should the market decide to do that. Right now, there is no suggestion that is occurring, until or unless the low of wave ii is taken out lower before five waves i-v complete to the upside.

Have an excellent start to the evening.

TraderJoe

22 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Both of your posts were approved. Please refresh your browser page.

      TJ

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  2. NDX (mthly) - From a momentum perspective - [if interested]

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/i2dzjbv7iz7zupp/NDXm.PNG/file

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  3. SPX (dly) - From a momentum perspective - [if interested]

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/im0zaeq5me95emy/SPXd.PNG/file

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  4. NDX/SPX (mthly) - A sample size of 1 -

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/qrfhyx9rjj57hcq/SampleSize1.PNG/file

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  5. Good morning all. The futures might continue the cash count, as follows. It will be needed to observe the cash open, as well. But, so far, so good.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/7fpBvmRQ/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ..the peak of the EWO can be for (3) of ((3)).
      TJ

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    2. ..here it what it looks like at the moment. Might be possible to get an expanded flat or a 'running triangle' to for wave ((4)) alternate with wave ((2)).

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/inpKbXgF/

      TJ

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    3. ES 30-min .. red dragonfly doji candle. As with all candle patterns it requires confirming or negating candles.

      TJ

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    4. ES 30-min; no confirmation of dragonfly doji - might be a sign of a running triangle.

      TJ

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  6. Hi TJ,

    Can you repost the post link for $8 trillion funds outside US in markets. It was in one your posts.

    In all this the SPX market has doubled from March 2020.(2191 to 4400).

    Isn't that fast.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Here you go:

      https://studyofcycles.blogspot.com/2021/07/dow-higher-high.html

      TJ

      Delete
  7. ES 5-min: here is one form of triangle. OR it is possible to bust down lower to the 78.6% level or slightly beyond.

    https://invst.ly/vo2ex

    TJ

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  8. Last two hrly up candles showing selling imbalance.

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  9. Three indicators as flat as a pancake: 1) 34-EMA, 2) EWO, 3) RSI. Try to learn this characteristic signature of a triangle.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/HbAXnIXV/

    As stated before, the triangle can expand once if it wants.
    TJ

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    Replies
    1. "smaller triange" now 'busting up' for the noon news on Wall $treet.

      Delete
  10. https://www.tradingview.com/x/LSlsNnCz/

    TQQQ Daily chart

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Looks like a neg. RD hidden div. trying to set up. [Possible] 2B top as well.

      Delete
  11. Upside target for triangle, barring truncation, appears to be about 4460 - 4470...

    ReplyDelete
  12. Hrly update -

    https://www.mediafire.com/view/gn0a8tkn0g4a7b5/hrlyupdate.PNG/file

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  13. The (E) wave of the 'smaller triangle' just broke lower before making a new all time high. So, either a larger triangle or a flat at this point.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete