This thirty-minute pattern on the Dow is reasonably clear. But, unfortunately, it too, provides a slippery alternate.
DJIA Cash Index - Half Hour - Reasonable Counts |
Because the (A) wave of the triangle starts with a flat, the triangle can also be interpreted as w-x-triangle y. So, the alternate ((1)), ((2)) count is in blue.
Yesterday, I had called out the possibility of a potential diagonal wave, but I had said that there was a FLAT wave in the making, so it might not be over with. This morning, due to lengths, and with alternation an impulse can now be counted.
S&P500 Cash Index - Half Hour - No Overlap Impulse |
TraderJoe
P.S. Because of downward overlap, the Dow's current ((C)) = ((A)) count could be complete with as close a Fibonacci as you will see.
DJIA Cash - Half Hour - ((C)) = ((A)) |
It would be another one of those "short fours" for alternation, and a break of the channel on an hourly basis should provide increased confirmation.
I believe a diagonal can be counted on cash SPX. It has an extremely long wave 1.
ReplyDeleteSee additional information just added to post.
Delete@Marc do you mean diagonal finished at 2835 as ((1)) then very short ((3)), ((5))?
Delete((3)) at 2846
DeleteMaybe s&p500 truncated because of China news? It didnt overlap on first leg down and then tried to rebound in ((5)) but fell short at 2845?
DeletePossible 1 min diagonal off top of SPX.
ReplyDeleteJoe, i am charting something and have a question. how much time can a y wave take after a 3
ReplyDelete2 to 3 is 9 bars
3 to w is 5
w to x is 6
i have x to y at 12
does that work?
Assuming that y made an a-b-c that consumed some of the 12 bars, then I don't see a big problem with it; and price must be added in as a factor.
Deletex to a and b to c in the y wave less in price than 3 to w?
DeleteMost recent (3) > (1) in the 30-minute Dow chart.
ReplyDeleteCNBC: Stocks rapidly give back gains on report China walking back trade concessions
ReplyDeleteA third chart was added as a P.S. a few moments ago. The Dow has downward overlap.
ReplyDelete0-2 TL broken in impulse posted above
ReplyDeleteJoe, i think that was biggest decline of uptrend last several days.
ReplyDeletejoe, do you count declines from max to min of wave or from beginning to end in case it terminates above the low? thanks
ReplyDelete..both .. look for 'confluence' of Fibonacci levels.
Deletethink we should consider whether it makes sense that the 0-2 TL can be broken only if it is followed by a change in degree....
ReplyDeleteJoe, since you've been studying the charts have you noticed anything about diagonals and how quick they get below their start. does that add any predictive value going forward?
ReplyDeleteDownward retrace since 13:00 ET in all markets is 90% or better; new low in the Dow and Rut futures.
ReplyDeletehttps://imgur.com/Q3HQlR3
ReplyDeleteI think this wave counts best as abc of some sort?
ReplyDeletehttps://i.imgur.com/v8dBUOy.png
I know (b) smaller than 2 of (a) and (c) smaller than 1 of (a) but let’s see
DeleteYesterday's S&P500 cash gap closed.
ReplyDeleteleaves 2 more easily spotted below
DeleteYM futures just touched their 18-day "line in the sand", after not having made the new highs since late February,
Deletegood stuff ET all day long
ReplyDeleteThanks Marc..!
DeleteA new post has been started for the next day.
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