Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Plausible Count in Daily GOLD

A daily diagonal in GOLD may be done or near done. Right now, a Fibonacci relationship of C = 2 x A can be seen.


Divergence with the Elliott Wave Oscillator (EWO or AO) exists particularly at the new high. Further, price is above the daily Bollinger Band, with the typical ~5% chance of staying above the band.

The ES depends a little bit on the open and possible inflows, but the wave ii count, up, is getting more and more probable in that market.

Reminder: there is economic data until 10 AM ET.

Have an excellent start to the new year!

TraderJoe


19 comments:

  1. Possible Diagonal forming in SPY ?

    https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VxmR5Lbh/?symbol=SP%3ASPX

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mark, TradingView will only let others view the chart if you publish it with the camera icon,and select "Copy Link to the Chart Image". Like below.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/ggbF7csD/

      Notice how much shorter in length the published URL's are. Bottom line: we can't view your link.

      TJ

      Delete
    2. Gotcha TJ. Sorry about that. Much appreciated.

      Delete
  2. TD Sequential also printing a short signal on the gold weekly chart.

    ReplyDelete
  3. My ES thoughts.

    https://imgur.com/eiUedve

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Also watching potential expanding diagonal down in gold from the morning high.

      Delete
    2. The ES retrace is pretty shallow so thinking we could get an x down to trap some bears for a bigger retrace.

      Delete
  4. Happy new year TJ,

    Just saw a small gap in SPX between 3955-65. Can wave ii target that?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Maybe the rally New Year's Eve and this morning to 10 am was a throw-over out of the triangle? And we soon break down? With AAPL, NVDA and TSLA leading the way?

    ReplyDelete
  6. If gold diagonal does not work (1900 is invalidation) I think the first wave may hold some clues.

    ReplyDelete
  7. ES 30-min: on the intraday wave-counting-screen, the last four down (red) fractals have already been exceeded lower. Chart runs about 10 min behind.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/p75U0112/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ES 30-min: here is the chart update with the outside range candle lower (at present; candle is still open). The outside candle is an economic news candle.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/8C6fVqi8/

      TJ

      Delete
  8. ES - 2hr Could we be forming a potential triple zigzag?

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/T7YoOGXN/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. My guess is we are now in c of b to the lower Bollinger band by Friday.

      Delete
  9. SPY 1-Hr (before the close): One triangle is currently already 'possible'. One larger triangle, in red, could form, and 'might' go to the Payroll Report on Friday. The waves are intractable, and the EMA-34 is relatively flat.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/lscGhfnS/

    The multiple zigzag option was always a possibility, and still has not been ruled out. That would have wave v on the low of 12/22.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for the update TJ, SPY currently sitting on the Daily Pivot.

    ReplyDelete
  11. ES new daily low (over yesterday's low). TJ.

    ReplyDelete
  12. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ.

    ReplyDelete