Thursday, May 11, 2023

Still Sideways - 2

On the daily chart of the ES futures, below, today was just an inside day with a lower close. It is hard to make too much more of it than this.

ES Futures - Daily - Battle at Line-In-The-Sand

Price is stuck pretty much at the 18-day SMA, ('fighting a battle at the line-in-the-sand'). So far, the daily pattern has lower daily highs, but still would require lower daily lows to establish a down trending swing-line pattern with the bias down.

The Bollinger Bands are traveling sideways as are the 18-day SMA and the daily slow stochastic. The daily advance-decline line lost a bit more ground, and volume is mediocre.

Tomorrow is Friday, and it will be interesting to see if the trend of 'every Friday up' is continued or broken. Economic reports due out include information on import & export prices and Consumer Sentiment.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, nothing yet has broken the pattern of a daily triangle with downward resolution, or the alternate of a daily contracting diagonal with further upside to go.

So far - on the slightly shorter term - the SPY cash 4-Hr tentative channel we have drawn in has been respected. See the prior post for more information at this LINK.

Have an excellent start to the evening,

TraderJoe


8 comments:

  1. ES 30-min: has now broken below the day of the outside-bar-up within two trading sessions, thereby setting a trap for the bulls. This may also result in the swingline turning down.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  2. Trap for Bulls or Bears?
    Impossible markets currently.
    Buy the dips works best each day!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. IF something works best each day, then it's not 'Impossible markets'. Your comment is self-contradictory. TJ.

      Delete
    2. Just make sure to sell the rip when the debt celling gets resolved

      Delete
  3. A lower Friday SPY close. Is that even possible?? Lol.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. March 13-May 11th uptrend. Till last week of May chaos due to uncertainty of debt ceiling June 1.

      Delete
  4. In the 1970s, the equity markets moved within larger degrees but essentially went sideways from 1966-1981.
    Just sayin...

    ReplyDelete
  5. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete