Friday, August 3, 2018

Follow-Through Day

Market Outlook: Now Getting Higher Volatility  
Market Indexes: Major U.S. Equity Indexes closed higher
SPX Candle: Higher High, Higher Low, Higher Close -  Trend Candle
FED Posture: Quantitative Tightening (QT)

Nothing has changed with the larger overall count in the U.S. equity indexes. Today was a positive day for the S&P500 cash index, the ES E-mini futures, the NQ NASDAQ 100 futures and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This is not a bullish statement. I remain neutral and am still attempting to count the wave sequence to completion. The up move does not look completed - just yet.

S&P500 Cash Index - Daily - Follow Through Day

The market continues to grind here. Only taking out the low of yesterday's outside day up would be a cause for significant worry that the count is not correct. Perhaps there will be more on the weekend.

Have a good start to your evening.
TraderJoe
 

8 comments:

  1. thanks for your insight. I understand you are neutral and are waiting to finish the wave under investigation. My question is when do you invest? Suppose you quantify an impulse as being finished - then what? I cant wrap my arms around the actionable trading information.

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    1. Hi Marc. I specifically don't provide trading or investment advice for two reasons. First, I am not a registered advisor, so it is not legal. Second, everyone's time horizon is different, and I couldn't possibly keep up with everyone. However, elsewhere in the blog I have posted Ira Epstein's guidelines for trading. If you need the link, let me know.

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    2. great i appreciate and respect that approach.

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  2. Can you please provide the link. Thanks

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    1. Hi Adam. Here is the link. Copy and paste to your browser.

      http://studyofcycles.blogspot.com/2015/11/paraphrase-of-ira-epsteins-rules-for.html

      There is a part two later in the same month.

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  3. Hi Joe. Sorry, but the .iv blue has more bars than the iv black. (Degree error) Perhaps iv black hasnt finished?

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    1. Hi fairul. Or perhaps blue .iii is higher up - which would also shorten wave .iv; very difficult to say, but either is acceptable in the overall count.

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    2. Oh yes! Missed that probability. Thank you Joe.

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