Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Micron: Nay-I

Today after the close were the earnings for Micron Technologies (MU). These followed a day when the ES futures first made a lower daily low then, primarily in the after-hours, reversed to close higher as in the daily chart below.


The lower daily low kept the swing-line lower, and the close under the 18-day SMA keeps the daily bias down for now.

I'm glad Micron is working on A-I. But the current state of information flow is just awful, artificial or not. I waited on several sites for the MU earnings release. I almost never do this. One of the sites specializes in earnings, and another is connected with a well-known financial news TV network. The site that claims to specialize in earnings said they would be released at 4:00 pm (ET). Simple enough - by about 4:01 pm the earnings came out but not the revenues. 

A couple of minutes later still nothing from the TV site. Not even the earnings. I kept refreshing each of the pages for several minutes, still no revenues at the earnings specialization site, and still nothing over at the TV website.

I waited 'till about 4:10 pm and then had to leave for an appointment. Nothing changed. I kept refreshing and refreshing. Nothing different.

I came home to write this about 2 hrs later and both of the sites were updated with earnings and revenues. Yippee! (Not).

You see, everything a trader or investor needs to have in an earnings release can be summarized in about five lines.

  1. Earnings per share
  2. Revenue
  3. Guidance
  4. New Products
  5. Special Situations/Challenges
Why in the world such a simple statement can not be released at the agreed upon time is absolutely beyond me. It should be available "on the minute", not on repeated refreshing nor having to check several sites.

What good is A-I, if information release itself is going to be so scatter-shot? Artificial Intelligence can analyze a lot - but not if it isn't given the information in the first place. The more I interact with the trading/business world, the more ridiculous some of these lax practices seem.

So mighty Micron will make more money making more chips. For what? You want more data centers? For what? As I was watching for the after-hours earnings, one could see the ES futures move steadily higher at least in unison with the initial earnings per share (actually starting about 15:30 ET somewhat in anticipation). Is a new data center going to change that situation?

Yes, a new data center might better help you plot your personal voyage to Betelgeuse, so you can study the supernova - if and when it happens - in person. (The computers used to guide Apollo to the moon are probably not good enough.) Oh. But guess what? Even though you plot your course, get it laid-in the Nav system, and get launched in the right trajectory using your new super A-I data, your lifespan isn't long enough to survive the 672-light-year journey even IF you could travel at the speed of light; which you can't yet.

Go ahead. Make more chips. Make a LOT more chips. Pollute the air and the water doing it, only to have them become as obsolete as my old Pentium-3. At some point, data processing is at least sufficient for most tasks. I'm not sure what benefits the 14th generation I-7 is even delivering compared to its first couple of iterations. It certainly didn't make the earnings release happen any earlier.

Get my drift? Have an excellent start to the evening,

TraderJoe


29 comments:

  1. And why do you think they are floating BILLIONS in bonds to fund the spending orgy, hmmmnnn...? A royal financial fuster-cluck befitting a GSC top.

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  2. MU 30 minute with afterhours. The tale of the tape is in the waves.

    https://schrts.co/XxhqFhiD

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  3. SPY (Cash) 1-hr: overnight gap up filled. Watch the high of the bar.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/VS3vE8pl/

    TJ

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  4. The DOW got TJ"s one more up wave.

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  5. ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min - from the intraday wave-counting-screen. Back to the S1 daily pivot after a dragonfly doji under the 18-per intraday SMA. Watch the high of the (black) dragonfly doji.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/XHo3xEsC/

    TJ

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    Replies
    1. ..also watch to see if there should be a lower low than 11:15 am, and if there should be an 18-per bear cross of the 100-per (green-dotted). TJ.

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    2. ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min: 18-per cross 100-per lower; currently stuck at S1 daily pivot support.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/qNdt5h5w/

      TJ

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  6. Consolidation at the low looking very ominous. Apple might be just the warm up act

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  7. Kospi circuits June 23rd and 26th..https://en.bloomingbit.io/feed/news/115089

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  8. ES 4-hr: this is the best I see in the futures in the most conservative case, w-x-y down to the 78.6% retrace. 'Possible' this is inside a triangle. A lower daily low in a zigzag of the correct length would be needed to claim a contracting diagonal.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/L1ReYeY5/

    I am watching for invalidations of 1-2-i-ii, also. But the market is not making that too easy.

    TJ

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    1. ...this morning's upward wave now appears too long for a further contracting diagonal (it would be iv longer than ii, which would break the rules for a contracting diagonal). But there is a configuration which would allow for an expanding diagonal, should it form properly. More on that later... TJ.

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  9. ES/SPY (CFD) 5-min: someone took the hatchet out in the last five-minutes. IT did not change much, but didn't fit the pattern of the rest of the day of mild-advances and mild declines.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/ArvpaDdN/

    TJ

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    Replies
    1. On trading view, the spy wick went to 716 or so, not sure if it's a real print but certainly interesting

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    2. According to A-I, the spike at the close was caused by:

      "FTSE Russell Reconstitution: The close was exacerbated by the implementation of the semi-annual FTSE Russell Reconstitution. This event regularly forces massive institutional portfolio rebalancing, creating elevated trading volumes and amplified price swings right before the final bell."

      TJ

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    3. ...boy am I ever glad they have a "procedure" that does that. Isn't a 'procedure' supposed to be designed to be 'orderly', rather than 'disruptive' - a 70 point S&P swing in the final five-minutes?! These people are literally insane. Luckily, I had stopped trading for the day to watch the World Cup, but my goodness that was only luck. TJ.

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    4. Took out the June 9th low.

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    5. Which index not sp. It has a porentiom of expanding diagonal now for the move from this low or wyz

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    6. @Jack ... SPY

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/Kx4rHktO/

      TJ.

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    7. Lol! Just an end of session leverage unwind. Insane leverage is the way they pin price on OpEx...if you are patient and alert, you can take advantage of those last 15 minutes...hint! ;)

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    8. @Tachy .. completely incorrect. There was no such phenomenon on the last expiration in March, 2026.

      March 2026 Expiration

      The phenomenon remains due to the Russell Rebalancing, as above.

      TJ

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  10. 6/27/26 SPX:M2 (1958-2026): The SPX:M2 ratio just tagged its 161.8 fib measured-move target again for a double-top (1st hit in Y2k). See '08 for the last convergence(!), but this is the first time all 3 are converging at the ratio's 161.8 target at the same time. Interesting, no?

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  11. So now we have different structures in spy abd es, should we ignore spy wick for ew purpose and look at closing price of candke

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  12. FYI..as TJ says 1st of month flows :)

    Alphabet joins Dow Monday.
    https://press.spglobal.com/2026-06-23-Alphabet-Set-to-Join-and-Honeywell-International-to-Remain-in-Dow-Jones-Industrial-Average

    SpaceX Joins Nasdaq-100 on July 7th.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/millions-investors-own-spacex-stock-015200771.html

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  13. Margin use at an all time high. Retail traders use margin. Market makers use margin. HTFAs use margin. Hedge Funds use margin. If you discount the use of leverage in price action you simply will not be able to make sense of market moves. Folk this is nothing new...remember LCTM? Leverage destroyed them. Brokerage firms will also forcibly liquidate leveraged trades at session end if they seem exposure unacceptable. Somebody knew about the imminent Iran attack...OBVIOUSLY!!!

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  14. The parallel lines of an abc?

    https://schrts.co/JbNjjhzw

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  15. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

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