Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Bollinger Bands are Narrowing

The daily Bollinger Bands are narrowing. Price changes are whippy. The CPI report is tomorrow morning. Some future brokers changed margin requirements prior to notification today which changed the character of the last hour. As a result, that prior high of 4,476 on the swing line indicator was exceeded higher, leaving a condition of "no-trend" for the moment in that indicator.


A 38.2% downward retracement of the prior wave (iii) has not occurred yet. It doesn't have to. A sideways triangle or an upward sloping diagonal wave could be made but any such structures would still be incomplete.

But then again, the Elliott Wave Oscillator is not yet down within the limits of a typical fourth wave (+10% to -40% of the prior third wave peak). And that also allows the continuing possibility of a flat fourth wave.

Have a good start to the evening.

TraderJoe

12 comments:

  1. ES 60-min: the Smart Money machines (and others) have tagged and exceeded the upper daily Bollinger Band. Looks like a diagonal and an impulse.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/GYat4MKO/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  2. ES 5-min: look at how many instances of the same exact volume during the ES rise on the CPI report. Same exact orders by same exact machines?

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/UUmDISWE/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  3. ES 5-min: IFF price goes over the top again (like for the noon news or prior to the FED minutes) it could be a 'b' wave rise in preparation for a fourth wave iv.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/DqT1Xkaa/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  4. ES 5-min: wedge portion has been undercut in 'less time'. Might be a true diagonal. Will update lagging chart when available. Bouncing off news-algo portion right now.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Here is the defeat of the wedge in less time. Certainly looks impulsive and can be counted so.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/GJb4tzOf/

      TJ

      Delete
  5. ES 5-min: sitting on minor trend line after 68-78% retrace.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/GEcyTnjX/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ..minor trend line cracked. TJ.

      Delete
    2. here's the initial break of the minor trend line. Back-testing now.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/w9Bj9ObG/

      TJ

      Delete
  6. Tj,
    Nasdaq keeps making higher highs?
    But still on iv wave down?
    Seems confusing....

    ReplyDelete
  7. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete