Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Bias Still Up

Today in the ES futures was another inside day, still with the price bias up and the close over the 18-day SMA. The day opened on a gap up, chopped around for much of the day, tried to head higher towards the futures close but could not yet break out of the prior range. The daily chart is below.

ES Futures - Daily - Bias Up

The daily slow stochastic is still embedded over the 80 level, and until its red line closes back under 79 it remains embedded.

The wave count remains intact, so far - as per the prior post. One can see that the nearby up (green) fractal might be the first to break higher. One can also see just how far back the market has placed the prior down (red) fractal - all the way back at the 200-day SMA.

The market feels somewhat shredded by or similarly ruled by the news cycle but so be it. Those are the market conditions at the moment, and they are what they are.

Have a good start to the evening,

TraderJoe

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