Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Trend Day

Today's lower low and lower close below the 18-day SMA has firmly set a down trending wave in motion as per the March 2026 ES Daily chart, below. This occurred after prices initially rose overnight to the underside of the line-in-the-sand before falling off.



The next target on the chart would be the combination of the lower Bollinger Band and the 100-day SMA. The daily slow stochastic has quickly moved from embedded higher, to over-sold. The hourly count looks like this at present.


It's a bit too early to say whether an impulse is forming or not.

Have an excellent start to the evening,
TraderJoe

5 comments:

  1. A classic B double top and down we go. http://icecream.me/741673b4b8c2a7f355cd4499644f0db9

    ReplyDelete
  2. This may be a C wave, the 18 ma is being retested.

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  3. SPY (Cash) 30-min: I'm not liking anything in SPY cash yet, at the moment. The wave is too slow, so far. The measurements are not great for an impulse. So, what I am showing is only more possible probability. There may be others. Watch to see if an upward triangle forms.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/Bly8qgkK/

    TJ

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    Replies
    1. SPY (Cash) 5-min: so far, so good. One valid form of triangle. Can 'breathe' or expand once if it wants.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/om049t6R/

      Not allowed below the low of Ⓐ, though, as invalidation.
      TJ

      Delete
  4. Looks like flagging action on daily in DJIA...

    ReplyDelete