Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Stubborn Refusal - 3

The triangle count in the ES daily futures hung on by a thread, as in the daily futures chart, below. This is the lead month contract only. The roll-over contract can count the same.

ES Futures - Daily - Triangle Continuation

Price closed back above the 18-day SMA, switching the daily bias back to 'up'. The daily slow stochastic is not yet over-sold. There is already upward overlap on the downward (e) wave, if that's what it is. The exact equal bottoms in the (e) wave - at 7,473.00 - are a real feat of financial engineering by someone.

If the down wave was not the (e) wave, it is possible for it to be another x wave of the (d) wave. But, by the rules, it would be the last potential x wave in the (d) wave series. Then the (d) wave could head for the highs again.

Stay calm flexible and patient while this resolves. Have an excellent start to the evening.

TraderJoe

20 comments:

  1. Thanks Tj. Quite confusing x or e.

    Also, 4hr macd is still down. From your earlier text "Note, the MACD is curled over on the 4-Hr. There is a 'way' we could have topped". What is this "way" ?

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    Replies
    1. did you even read yesterday's post? TJ.

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    2. I missed it otherwise I try to thank whenever I read your blog.

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  2. ES/SPY (CFD) 2 Hr - with the advent of the second higher high this morning there is the possibility/probability of this diagonal.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/Z7A7XOvt/

    TJ

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  3. https://www.tradingview.com/x/4hCXKTB5/

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  4. Reminder: after the close a slew of earnings, including TSLA, GOOG, IBM, TXN, CSX, etc.
    TJ

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  5. So, this is getting a little looney; they don't even know if the earnings 'compare' to the estimates.

    Google parent Alphabet
    reported fiscal second-quarter results on Wednesday. Here are the numbers.

    Earnings per share: $9.11
    Revenue: $119.80 billion vs $116.93 billion expected by LSEG

    It was unclear if the earnings per share were comparable to the $2.89 expected by LSEG.

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. $2.87 was reported by CNBC, as 'expected'. C'mon folks. This is getting tiring. TJ.

      Delete
    2. It's those young kids trying to run things.

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    3. Being in the trades, I can promise with certainty, its the young kids trying to run things.

      Delete
  6. Tesla
    reported earnings after the bell. Here’s how the company did, compared with estimates from analysts polled by LSEG:

    Here’s how the company did compared to Wall Street expectations, according to estimates from analysts polled by LSEG

    Earnings per share: 33 cents adjusted vs. 51 cents expected
    Revenue: $28.24 billion vs. $25.71 billion expected

    Per CNBC
    TJ

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  7. ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min: from the intraday wave-counting-screen. Here's the earnings' bar.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/AFUnfEKe/

    TJ

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  8. Seems like we are.gpimg down

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  9. Looks like we might have just completed a leading contracting diagonal to kick off the higher degree triangle in GOLD.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Somehow it just doesn't have it's spice without a weekly chart.

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  10. ES 1-hr: the low of the diagonal was exceeded lower in 'less time' than it took to build. The diagonal was ending. Also, 8 Jul low also just exceeded lower. TJ.

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  11. ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min: here's the count I currently see. We have broken a 'Kennedy channel' or 'base channel' lower. But a fourth and fifth wave are needed to claim an impulse.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/DXuP9wRk/

    TJ

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  12. SPY (cash) 10-min: looks like we're getting a lower low, so probably into 5 down.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/WbtlCGUC/

    TJ

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  13. So far bounced of the lower trend line of triangle in cash

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  14. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete