Monday, October 5, 2020

Three-Down, Three-Up "So Far"

If the wave count to the early morning Friday low represented three waves down, as was described in the previous post, then today tentatively represents only three-waves up to prior resistance at the 3,400 level. Here is the ES half-hourly chart.


At the 3,400 level tentative wave c is 0.786 x wave a. This could represent the minuet (b) wave higher of the minute ((b)) wave lower. If so, a minuet (c) wave down could occur in the form of an Expanded Flat. The wave labels are tentative until there is downward overlap on the a wave, and price trades below the b wave. A significant break, lower, of  the most recent upward parallel, and a back-test of it with a subsequent failure low would provide a lot more additional confirmation.

Keep one eye peeled to any stimulus or political news that might alter the landscape.

Have a very good start to the evening and to the week.

TraderJoe

8 comments:

  1. Just as the A/O, 18 day sma, Bollinger Bands, embedded Stochastic are tools to aid wave analysis, the following can provide some valuable information as well (imho).

    https://imgur.com/0bz7zXI

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The best aid for wave counting is RSI. Learn to read RSI and you do not need anything else... no offense, but your chart is a mess.
      We have a-b-c and c is near completion. This supposed wave iv/a is obviously too big and it is part of b and this move now is too long for b/b - https://invst.ly/sdgad
      Look at the 4h chart and you will see the RSI trend line broken and now tested with divergence the move from the low is completing - https://invst.ly/sdgb-

      Very simple with some experience you will see how effective it is.

      Delete
    2. It appears your RSI is not 14prd? It certainly doesnt match what Im looking at.
      Note: target reached.

      Delete
  2. Cash is in the ninth wave up from Friday low.

    ReplyDelete
  3. From CNBC - Stocks turn negative after Trump says White House to stop negotiating stimulus until after election.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Basis daily ES, neg HD shows target of 3229.25. This assumes yesterday's close holds as high. (fwiw).

    ReplyDelete
  5. ES futures gap of 3,345 closed; cash gap is still open at 3,348.44
    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  6. A new post is started for the next day.

    ReplyDelete