Thursday, February 26, 2026

New Fractal Break Needed

A lot of words could be expended, but - at present - the reality of the situation on the ES daily futures is that a new fractal break is needed.

ES Futures - Daily - Compressing

Right now, the pattern is compressing. It could break up as a triangle, or it could break down as a diagonal.

We're just giving things lots & lots of time to play out. So, calm, caution and flexibility remain the operative themes until the market gets more directional.

Have an excellent rest of the evening,

TraderJoe

17 comments:

  1. Glad I have been calmly, cautiously, and flexibly holding onto a truckload of puts...downside break!! he!he!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not to rain in on anyone's puts someone posted a chart which showed that during mid term year the market peaks at end of March and the decline starts in April. We know past is not any indication of future

      Delete
    2. Another ld or.wyz from morning low

      Delete
    3. Predictions and postulates mean nothing to real traders. The past several have presented a target rich environment for anyone paying attention. Who cares what Mr. Market does in March or April?! 😊

      Delete
  2. Looks to me like a diagonal off the lows. Leading...?

    ReplyDelete
  3. ES vs SPY: so, I'm trying to rationalize cash and futures here. And if one more new low can be made, within certain limits, it may be possible to count 5-down in both as follows.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/m7cD3FHx/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Or.instead of looking at the last wave as expanding diag
      Have contracting diag.also for futures with one more low

      Delete
    2. https://www.tradingview.com/x/x5DCERug/

      Delete
  4. Does anyone else find it remarkable how indifferent markets appear to be to the imminent entanglement by the current administration, of the country in yet another costly military adventure in the Middle East? The level of hubris is stunning. The outright stupidity even more so. Both China and Russia have been quietly helping Iran prepare for what would be an act of stupendous folly people who should know better. Mark my words. Trump starts a war with Iran and his political life comes to an ignominious end. We shall see if someone has him by the short hairs, so to speak...he is not that stupid!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Can you tell us again how preemptively defending the country against future nuclear attacks is stupid, lefty? Frankly all I see out of you is classic whining with no hint of a solution. And what does any of your drivel have to do with EWT?

      Delete
    2. Thank you for your opinion! 😂

      Delete
    3. I thought his drivel was related to his puts decay.

      Delete
    4. Yep! Every real trader understands this is, and has been a SCALPER'S market. 😊

      Delete
  5. Reminder: DO NOT post trades on this site. It is not the purpose of this site. TJ.

    ReplyDelete
  6. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete