Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Daily Bias is Still Up

As long as price closes over the 18-day SMA, then the daily bias is still up. Yesterday's 'no man's land' squeeze that we showed on the ES hourly chart resolved to the upside today. So, we just keep counting until we can no longer. 

The chart below is of the SPY cash 15-min chart. A few things about the degree labels are noted below the chart. The count itself has no preference from me at the moment, so that a/i, b/ii, and c/iii are to be read as being equivalent until they are not. They are not to be thought of as 'alternates'. They are to be thought of as unresolved. Unresolved means that 1) the lengths can still be developing, 2) there is no reason to assume upward (or downward) price movement is over, and 3) there are no disqualifying overlaps.

SPY Cash - 15 Minutes - Local Count

Some notes about degree labeling:

  1. Within c/iii wave  is smaller in price and time than i.
  2. Wave  is smaller in price and time than b/ii which is a Flat (just a compound Flat).
We also note that today's wave is entirely above a 0 - b/ii trend line at this time. Wave a/i is a true diagonal, and diagonals are often a waves, but that does not mean price cannot go over the top if it measures as c = 1.618 x a.

Have an excellent rest of the evening,
TraderJoe

6 comments:

  1. ES (SPY CFD) ..markets are getting more and more ridiculous; more testy. More whippy. At some point, they will reverse and begin to trend.

    https://invst.ly/18t8v2

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ..prior high within potential expanding diagonal has been cleared. Waiting on measurements.

      https://invst.ly/18t9-e

      TJ

      Delete
  2. Some sort of triangle. Don't know if it's to.downside or upside

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In ES 15-min; it 'could have been' this expanding triangle as a fourth wave; waiting on Amazon.

      https://invst.ly/18ta4z

      TJ

      Delete
  3. ES 5-min: now by being above 6,103 ES futures this leg up as a wave 'five' of an expanding diagonal is now valid as being longer than the third wave up of the diagonal. Length measurements valid. TJ.

    ReplyDelete
  4. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete