Thursday, September 11, 2025

ES/SPY (CFD) - Another Short-Term Channel to Watch

Today, we were able to count five-waves-up. The question is whether it is part of another channel or not, because there was only minor divergence on the RSI. Here is the chart of the ES/SPY (CFD) 30-minute.


If the channel does not hold up, then it might be possible to see today's high as part of another three-wave move.

One note of caution: the December roll-over contract is currently trading +50 points higher than the September is. Have an excellent rest of the evening,

TraderJoe

15 comments:

  1. ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min: the CFD nicked over the high. ES futures went to +90% before retreating some.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/PmGg5gM2/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  2. Just fyi -

    ES/SPY (CFD) 30-min: currently at 5 = 1 and diverging.

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/MCX6YpLM/

    TJ

    ReplyDelete
  3. The 5 th doesn't look like 5 waves in any shape or form. So it could be a b wave up

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Unless c is small compared to "a" for the 4th and ended higher

      Delete
    2. What instrument are you referring to? TJ

      Delete
    3. I have the same count in the ES 30-min, as in the CFD 30-min, with the exception the first high in the CFD over wave 3, did not go over the high in the ES.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/lMGRPkJX/

      I don't see what the objection is. I sometimes use the CFD because it is "real time" while the ES is delayed on this site.

      None of this chart includes the new "roll-over" contract yet. And that is expected to be more than +50 to 60 on roll-over. That may change the picture Monday/Tuesday. But it didn't today.

      TJ

      Delete
    4. ET - Can the intermediate pullbacks in wave (3) be longer than (2).
      I did not count it that way as I thought it is causing degree violation.

      Delete
    5. @EDT .. please post a link to a chart and show me what you mean. But, in general, no. TJ.

      Delete
    6. ET - Here is the link the declines I was referring to marked by the white lines.
      They seem to be longer than wave (2), which made me not consider that count.

      https://www.tradingview.com/x/JtgvfCMq/

      Delete
  4. just a perspective. Not ew. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDzJ4gbKoTk

    ReplyDelete
  5. A new post is started for the next day.
    TJ

    ReplyDelete