Yesterday, we pointed out that the daily slow stochastic on the ES futures had its third day of re-embedding. Ira Epstein (broker with the Linn Group, LLC.) who noted this characteristic also noted that the 'second' time embedding happens in-a-row it is often - not always - a sign of a weakened market; one that is wobbling. The ES daily price chart is below. Price has still closed above the 18-day SMA, and so the daily bias is still positive.
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| ES Futures - Daily - Outside Key-Reversal Bar |
However, today's bar can be a "key reversal" bar taking out the high and low of the previous two bars after the highest high in the trend count (i.e. today). And, depending on where it closes, it might also come to be considered a double-close key reversal, closing below two of the prior closes.
Today was a 'turn-around Tuesday' which is interesting of itself. There is a way to consider a top in place, but more downside is needed. Today's bar just is not that long yet although it does overlap with the bars of 22 & 23 Sep. So, patience will rule. Loss of the embedded slow stochastic might be one factor to wait to observe, and a close below that line-in-the-sand might be another.
With price having hit the upper daily Bollinger Band again, it might be a place where the Smart Money is at least lightening up on some positions.
If we have finished the Minor A wave up, remember I am primarily looking for a Minor B wave down.
Have an excellent start to the evening,
TraderJoe
An intractable meandering B wave down would nicely set up a year end rally in a final wave up. Cycle guys ( Chaiken and Nenner) anticipate a major top in 2027. Things starting to get interesting!
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