There is a new short video to watch that eliminates a lot of conflicts in some waves, and provides both limits and targets, not possible before, particularly in the ES futures.
Many, many continuous hours of research went into the study of degree labeling prior to the publication of this video. So I do hope you enjoy it.
Hello. Glad to see you abandoned the idea of an extremely unlikely expanding ending diagonal count and decided to agree with the way I've been counting Minor wave 1 - https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX500/WjAO0CfP-Minute-ii-already-done/
Your count doesn't respect however the Neely's rule/guideline of third waves having no price action beyond the 0-2 trendline - I'm referring to your Minute wave three of Minor wave three.
I have not abandoned the diagonal alternate for precisely the reason regarding the 0 - 2 trend line. That 0 - 2 trend line is not a problem in the diagonal count. Further, I said, the only way I could see the current count in a channel is with this 'degree' labeling. I did not say this count 'has to be' in a channel. Next I am studying the up wave from 2011 on forward to check on it's 0 - 2 trend lines. In short I may want to walk me and the readers through why a diagonal may be the only option left, pending the research.
Thanks for the video update Joe. I'm a little confused, though. At some points in the video it looks like you're saying that the current wave needs to work its way up to 2700, while other views show that it could have already ended last week, with a decline over the next few weeks taking it back down to 2420. Is that correct?
Hi mblcta. All I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
It is curious that two analysts from the same company can offer two different counts in the two separate services (STU/EWFF and Pro-Services)
In Pro-services they are counting as finishing ((5)) of 3 and only ((5)) of 5 as second alternate
In your last weekly S&P count, the corrections (ii) and (iv) are very short in time. Finally you do not apply the neely's rule of 1 in time = 2 in time, and 4 in time => 2 in time ?
Hi 6Q - All I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
Thanks for taking the time to put together and share this update. I truly appreciate the passion you have on this topic and always look forward to learning from you.
Hi Todd - Although I didn't make it as clear as I could, all I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
Hello. Glad to see you abandoned the idea of an extremely unlikely expanding ending diagonal count and decided to agree with the way I've been counting Minor wave 1 -
ReplyDeletehttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX500/WjAO0CfP-Minute-ii-already-done/
Your count doesn't respect however the Neely's rule/guideline of third waves having no price action beyond the 0-2 trendline - I'm referring to your Minute wave three of Minor wave three.
Cheers.
Miguel
I have not abandoned the diagonal alternate for precisely the reason regarding the 0 - 2 trend line. That 0 - 2 trend line is not a problem in the diagonal count. Further, I said, the only way I could see the current count in a channel is with this 'degree' labeling. I did not say this count 'has to be' in a channel. Next I am studying the up wave from 2011 on forward to check on it's 0 - 2 trend lines. In short I may want to walk me and the readers through why a diagonal may be the only option left, pending the research.
DeleteRegards, Joe.
Thanks for the video update Joe. I'm a little confused, though. At some points in the video it looks like you're saying that the current wave needs to work its way up to 2700, while other views show that it could have already ended last week, with a decline over the next few weeks taking it back down to 2420. Is that correct?
ReplyDeleteHi mblcta. All I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
DeleteNice video ET, after watching it, the count makes more sense compared to when you posted it in the chat-room!!
ReplyDeleteIt takes time to explain! And thanks!
DeleteIt is curious that two analysts from the same company can offer two different counts in the two separate services (STU/EWFF and Pro-Services)
ReplyDeleteIn Pro-services they are counting as finishing ((5)) of 3 and only ((5)) of 5 as second alternate
In your last weekly S&P count, the corrections (ii) and (iv) are very short in time. Finally you do not apply the neely's rule of 1 in time = 2 in time, and 4 in time => 2 in time ?
Thank you very much for the video ;)
Hi 6Q - All I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
DeleteJoe,
ReplyDeleteThanks for taking the time to put together and share this update. I truly appreciate the passion you have on this topic and always look forward to learning from you.
It’s not worth counting anymore. Everyone’s counts have been wrong.
ReplyDeleteHi Todd - Although I didn't make it as clear as I could, all I am saying is that one of three counts holds. 1) The EWI count, which has all the technical indicators at maximums right now, and probably wrong for that reason. 2) The 'parallel' count which has the degrees right, but violates the minute 0 - to minute ii trend line rule, as it cuts off minute iii and is probably not correct for that reason, and 3) the Expanding Diagonal count - which, at last check - had none of these issues but needs to be rechecked to insure the degrees still fit like they once did.
DeleteThanks TJ
ReplyDeleteWelcome, manu.
DeleteHey Joe....Thank you very much for posting the video here, super helpful! I greatly appreciate all you do!
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Andrew
Welcome Andrew.
DeleteThanks for the unbelievably valuable insights Joe..hope you and your family have a great Holiday Season...Well done sir
ReplyDeleteThanks Shawn! You and yours' as well!
DeleteSalut joe
ReplyDeleteTrès bon travail
Mais beaucoup de possibilités
Donc on est dans le doute sur l'évolution
Dommage que ce n'est pas simple
Mais bravo joe
Thank you so much for this video! Was really helping out a lot!
ReplyDeleteRegards
Bent B. Jensen